The
snow clad Pir Panjal mountain divides Jammu ,
predominantly Hindu, and Kashmir ,
predominantly Muslim. Further northeast Zojila mountain divides Ladakh,
predominantly Buddhist, from the valley. Jammu
and Ladakh are diverse in terms of their religious compositions than the Kashmir valley. Though majority Hindu, Jammu has significant number of Muslims and
Sikhs. A trader in the border town, Poonch, was animated to explain the
amicable relations among the people: “You will find Hindus, Muslims and Sikhs
eating together, attending celebrations and funerals together.”
Further
north, travelling through the Mughal road (used by the Mughal emperors to enjoy
the salubrious climate of the valley during summer), one comes across rare
hospitality. At the highest spot on the road, the travelers are offered free
salt-tea and fried wheat flour. The spot also hosts the worship place of Muslim
Saint Baba Abdul Karim. Descending to the valley at Shopian, one comes across
beautiful landscapes. One also comes across security checks, reminding that not
everything is fine. The horrific pictures of the past militancy become vivid.
Floods devastated parts of the valley last
September. One has to cross through broken bridges while driving through the
Muslim-majority valley. The green valley has turned grey as a miasma of dust
covered the trees and the houses. A local resident pointed his finger towards
the wall of his office located near Iqbal
Park in Srinagar , the summer capital. There was a
mark of flood water at about eight feet. Some of the hotels in the city were
closed as they were repairing for the coming tourist season. The first floors
of many hotels were completely destroyed due to the floods. Dal Lake ,
a major tourist attraction, was in shambles with no tourists on the famed
houseboats. The loss was terrible. I was, however, amazed to witness the spirit
of the local people. They have recovered fast. Life has moved on.
A
local resident told, “When the valley is recovering from the floods and people
are collecting pieces from the tatters, conducting elections does not make much
sense.” His argument was to shift the elections to a later date in order to
concentrate all energy on the reconstruction of the valley. The government of India
this time has exhibited alacrity in terms of providing assistance, with the
Prime Minister visiting the valley twice within five months of coming to power.
The policy to hold elections in time is perhaps motivated by two factors: one,
pushing the schedule further into colder months will be harsh for the voters
and second, the gap in elections may provide miscreants leeway to play havoc.
While
the popular concerns over elections bears logic, the call of militant
organizations to boycott elections does not. Regular elections over the past
few decades are considered fair and that reduces the appeal of the militants.
The militants see each action of the governments with suspicion and advocate
violence. The moderate separatists have articulated the alienation of the
people in the valley and some of them have joined the electoral politics. The
establishment of an Al Qaeda branch in the Indian subcontinent and the
appearance of Islamic State (of Iraq
and Syria )
flags in the valley have made the peace loving people and the administration
jittery.
Some
of the major issues that have surfaced in the electoral campaigns include:
communalization of the state politics, dominance of dynasty, peace and
development. The rising popularity of India ’s
nationalist party, Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), which also rules in New Delhi , has caused concern
among the local parties. BJP’s policies have not gone well with some of the
parties. BJP has not hidden its ambition to secure the majority of assembly
seats. If the party wins the majority of seats, it will be for the first time
in the history that a nationalist party will rule the region. More importantly,
it will have far reaching implications for conflict and peace discourse. The
local political parties like National Conference (NC) and People’s Democratic
Party (PDP) are dominated by particular families. The NC, along with the
Congress party, ruled the state for most of the time since 1950s. The PDP that
came to power in 2002 for one term has become popular due to its people
friendly policies. The current NC led government has been struggling with anti-incumbency
factor.
The
internal dynamics of Jammu and
Kashmir are equally compelling as its external
dynamics. The post-flood electoral politics provides ample testimony to this.
An interaction with the local people gives the impression that the conflict has
many subtler dimensions which need more attention.
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